WCT

ValleyTechnology

Wellchange Holdings Co Ltd · NASDAQ Capital · priced Oct 2, 2024 · $8M raised · Under $50M

Offer price
$4.00
$10000.00 split-adjusted
Day 1
+2.8%
close vs offer
Peak
+124.8%
trading day 29
Now vs offer
-100.0%
$2.86 on Nov 13, 2026
Off peak
-98.2%
peak to subsequent low
Lock-up expiry
Mar 31, 2025
593d ago · estimated
Next earnings
–
no date known yet

Price since listing

  • Hype
  • Distribution
  • Lock-up window
  • Valley
  • Accumulation
  • Recovery

Volume bars are coloured by lifecycle phase. Markers: lock-up and early release (orange), earnings releases (E), follow-on offerings (F), research signals (rule id and signal; arrow up = buy signal, arrow down = sell or short signal, or sell signal for deals under $50M). Current phase: Valley.

Performance since the IPO

  • WCT
  • S&P 500 (SPY)
  • Typical IPO under $50m
  • Middle 50% of those IPOs

WCT measured from its offer price; S&P 500 from the first trading day. The typical-IPO line is the median of 382 under $50m IPOs from 2014–2025, by trading day.

Company

Wellchange Holdings Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as an enterprise software solution services provider in Hong Kong. The company provides tailor-made software solutions, cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, and white-labelled software design and development services. The company also operates MR. CLOUD, a cloud-based SaaS enterprise resource planning software platform based on sub…

Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
8
Market cap
$5M

Similar past IPOs

Tracker plan

Compared with similar IPOs

Past price paths of similar IPOs

Outcomes of similar IPOs

Closest matches

Risk-score detail

Pro plan

R20 Day-20 risk tier

Inputs that raised or lowered the score

RL Pre-unlock risk tier

Inputs that raised or lowered the score

Insider transactions

SEC Form 4 · data through Nov 14, 2026

Wellchange Holdings Co Ltd files annual reports as a foreign private issuer (Form 20-F or 40-F).

Foreign private issuers are exempt from section 16 of the Securities Exchange Act, so their officers, directors and 10% owners are not required to file Form 4. No insider transactions are listed for that reason; this does not mean that none took place.

Reported by company insiders to the SEC on Form 4, usually within two business days. Data through Nov 14, 2026.

Form 4 shows what insiders reported, not why; sales can have many reasons, such as paying taxes or diversifying. This is information, not a research signal: no IPO Arc rule uses it. How this data is collected and its limits.

Returns vs offer, compared with 188 IPOs under $50m

HorizonWCTPeer medianPeers below offer
Day 1+2.8%0.0%47% n=188
Day 20+109.2%-10.0%61% n=188
Day 60-70.0%-36.0%70% n=185
Day 120-95.0%-52.3%78% n=180
Day 180-94.9%-68.3%83% n=174

Research signals

  • SellRule U1: sell signal for 40 sessions
    Apr 2, 2025 · Slide into the unlock
    Past signals (57, deals under $50M): fell 70% · median -16.9% · rallied 25%+ during the hold 44%
    Historicalborderline

    Deal under $50M: published as a sell signal only, because shorting such shares is usually impractical (hard to borrow, high borrow fees, frequent squeezes).

  • SellRule RL: sell signal for 60 sessions
    Mar 3, 2025 · Pre-unlock risk tier
    Past signals (226, deals under $50M): fell 68% · median -13.9% · rallied 25%+ during the hold 50%
    Historical

    Deal under $50M: published as a sell signal only, because shorting such shares is usually impractical (hard to borrow, high borrow fees, frequent squeezes).

  • BuyRule C1: buy signal for 40 sessions
    Nov 27, 2024 · Capitulation
    Past signals (355, deals under $50M): rose 42% · median -7.2% · dropped 25%+ during the hold 49%
    Historical

    Buy signals passed on returns relative to IPOs of the same year, size and age, most of which fall after listing. A buy signal can beat its peers and still lose money.

  • SellRule F1: sell signal for 100 sessions
    Oct 29, 2024 · Microcap deal
    Past signals (385, deals under $50M): fell 73% · median -29.2% · rallied 25%+ during the hold 50%
    Historical

    Deal under $50M: published as a sell signal only, because shorting such shares is usually impractical (hard to borrow, high borrow fees, frequent squeezes).

Signals from Oct 29, 2026 onward are recorded live; earlier ones show what the rules would have flagged at the time. Signals of the pre-unlock rules RL, T1, O1 and L2 are recorded live from Nov 16, 2026; these four rules have no signals dated Oct 29, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026. See methodology.

See the track record for every live signal and its result.

The rules run independently, so one IPO can carry buy and sell signals at the same time; each label reports only its own rule's history.

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Research signals only, not investment advice. Lock-up terms come from prospectuses; prices from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed or wrong; insider transactions as filed on SEC Form 4.