IPO Arc: the rise and fall after listingIPO Arc

Amaero Inc. · NASDAQ Capital · priced Oct 15, 2026 · $20M raised · Under $50M

Offer price
$4.25
Day 1
+3.8%
close vs offer
Peak
+42.1%
trading day 9
Now vs offer
+36.0%
$5.78 on Oct 29, 2026
Off peak
-4.3%
peak to subsequent low
Lock-up expiry
Apr 13, 2027
in 165d · from prospectus

Price since listing

  • Hype
  • Distribution
  • Lock-up window
  • Valley
  • Accumulation
  • Recovery

Volume bars are coloured by lifecycle phase. Markers: lock-up and early release (orange), earnings releases (E), follow-on offerings (F), research signals (rule id and signal; arrow up = buy signal, arrow down = sell or short signal, or sell signal for deals under $50M). Current phase: Hype.

Performance since the IPO

  • AMRO
  • S&P 500 (SPY)
  • Typical IPO under $50m
  • Middle 50% of those IPOs

AMRO measured from its offer price; S&P 500 from the first trading day. The typical-IPO line is the median of 382 under $50m IPOs from 2014–2025, by trading day.

Company

Amaero Inc. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of refractory and titanium alloy spherical metal powders for additive manufacturing and advanced manufacturing. The company offers titanium additive manufacturing powders, refractory additive manufacturing powders, and powder metallurgy hot isostatic pressing components. It serves various industries, such as defense, space, aerospace, oil and gas…

Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Country
United States
Employees
53
Market cap
$168M

From the prospectus

Lock-up
180 days
Early release on earnings
No
Price-based early release
No
Staggered release
No
Float sold in IPO
16%
Locked shares per share sold
5.1×
Backed by
Private equity
Lead underwriters
Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Lake Street Capital Markets, LLC
Dual-class shares
No
Controlled company
No
Foreign private issuer
No

Extracted from the final prospectus on SEC EDGAR.

Returns vs offer, compared with 189 IPOs under $50m

HorizonAMROPeer medianPeers below offer
Day 1+3.8%0.0%47% n=189
Day 20—-10.3%61% n=187
Day 60—-34.4%70% n=184
Day 120—-51.8%78% n=177
Day 180—-68.7%83% n=174

Research signals

No rule has triggered for this IPO.

Rules frozen as v1; signals dated from Oct 29, 2026 are live, earlier ones show what the frozen rules would have flagged. See methodology.

Past figures cover all 4,312 signals the published frozen v1 rules produce on 2014–2025 IPOs, close to close over each signal's holding period. Returns start at the close of the signal session; signals are published after that close, so the first price available to a reader is the next session's. Only 1,192 of 2,368 operating-company IPOs from those years have usable Yahoo Finance price data; most of the rest no longer trade under their IPO ticker (delisted, acquired or renamed), so the figures probably understate declines. These are hypothetical results, not trades: the rules were selected on these same years with the benefit of hindsight, so the figures likely overstate what live signals will do. The live track record is the real test. Trading costs and borrow fees are not included. Past results do not predict future results.

Research signals only, not investment advice. Lock-up terms come from prospectuses; prices from Yahoo Finance and may be delayed or wrong.